Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.354824 0.420426 0.493609 0.581134 0.682792 0.796964 0.934729
2025-02-02 0.284807 0.377775 0.492397 0.643340 0.836025 1.072825 1.384846
2025-02-09 0.233381 0.336595 0.473563 0.666990 0.931180 1.277171 1.761947
2025-02-16 0.188915 0.292662 0.439203 0.658657 0.975707 1.413208 2.057658
2025-02-23 0.152463 0.251971 0.400631 0.635201 0.991306 1.505689 2.297040
2025-03-02 0.123305 0.216425 0.362950 0.605515 0.990745 1.570663 2.498314
2025-03-09 0.110723 0.204785 0.359583 0.626619 1.067336 1.754393 2.890098
2025-03-16 0.092619 0.180620 0.332138 0.604511 1.071535 1.825181 3.111776
2025-03-23 0.083523 0.170732 0.327008 0.618293 1.134684 1.993352 3.500648
2025-03-30 0.075398 0.161245 0.321065 0.629376 1.193441 2.158171 3.896348
2025-04-06 0.066235 0.148213 0.306755 0.623223 1.220492 2.270659 4.211613
2025-04-13 0.058657 0.137119 0.294515 0.619106 1.250070 2.388876 4.544781
2025-04-20 0.054539 0.132991 0.296007 0.642847 1.336296 2.619295 5.103862
2025-04-27 0.054927 0.138882 0.318663 0.711469 1.515755 3.035268 6.034466
2025-05-04 0.051317 0.135063 0.320437 0.737431 1.613737 3.307386 6.720041
2025-05-11 0.045337 0.124596 0.306398 0.728289 1.639757 3.444308 7.160581
2025-05-18 0.038993 0.112070 0.285954 0.702551 1.628339 3.506627 7.461040
2025-05-25 0.033114 0.099600 0.263782 0.669965 1.598466 3.528732 7.682580
2025-06-01 0.031230 0.097426 0.265804 0.693132 1.692041 3.808952 8.443530
2025-06-08 0.027020 0.088015 0.248686 0.668863 1.677065 3.862037 8.742235
2025-06-15 0.025237 0.085227 0.247903 0.683992 1.753126 4.113069 9.470934
2025-06-22 0.023479 0.082186 0.246037 0.696158 1.823306 4.356508 10.200460
2025-06-29 0.021115 0.076826 0.237190 0.689403 1.847588 4.500722 10.725764